Prediction of Chinese seafarers quantity based on improved GM(1,1)model

Prediction of Chinese seafarers quantity based on improved GM(1,1)model

来源:中文会议(科协)
英文摘要

The annual quantity of Chinese seafarers is influenced by multiple factors,it may change significantly some year.In order to effectively solve the volatility of sequence,predict the quantity of Chinese seafarers,the improved grey system theory prediction model is put forward.This model will Build mathematical models and calculate the quantity of Chinese seafarers in the next five years.The result shows that the improved model can well predict the quantity of Chinese seafarers year by year.The research results can provide certain data reference for the maritime colleges,shipping companies and Departments to make development plan.

YUAN Jingguo;

Tianjin Maritime Vocational College, Tianjin 300350, China;

第22届亚洲航海学术年会

Grey system theory improved GM(1 1)model quantity of seafarers

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